- MARGIN DEBT NEW HIGHS
- FALLING OFF OF SHORT INTEREST
- FLATTENING YIELD CURVE, FALLING BOND YIELDS
- DECLINING Y/Y M2 MONEY SUPPLY (AS SHOWN NORTHERN POST)
- HISTORIC HIGHS TOTAL CREDIT MARKET DEBT
- DECLINING CONSUMER SENTIMENT
- PARABOLIC MOVE IN HOME SALES AND PRICES
- WEAKENING JOB PICTURE
- DESTRUCTION OF MANUFACTURING
- PENSION CRISIS
- 8,000 HEDGE FUNDS AND TRILLIONS OF DERIVITIVES
- END OF FANNIE AND FREDDIE AS KEY LENDERS
- CONTINUED THUGGERY AS WITH AIG
- STOCK OPTIONS STILL NOT EXPENSED, OVERSTATES TECH EARNINGS GROSSLY
- LAND GRAB, BUILDERS FIGHTING, BIDDING WARS OVER UNDEVELOPED LAND (SEE LAST TOLL BROS POST, THEY HAVE 6-8 YR SUPPLY)
- SIGNS OF TOP IN CREDIT EXPANSION
- EARNINGS WARNING FROM FINANCIALS, ENERGY STOCKS WEAK
- END OF EOCNOMIC STIMULUS
- POTENTIAL TRADE WARS
- NEW STRICTER BANKRUPTCY LAWS
- NEAR ZERO SAVINGS RATE
- STOCK PRICES STILL AT OVEVRALUED EXTREMES AND THIN MISERLY DIVIDENDS YIELDS (NEAR 2% !!)
- BEAR MARKET BOTTOMS END WITH SINGLE DIGIT PE RATIO AND NEAR 6% DIVIDEND YIELDS, WE HAVE NEITHER NOR DID WE AT OCT LOWS (WAS 30 PE 1.7% YIELDS) HAVE ALSO NOT HAD PLETHORA OF 90% DOWN DAYS DURING BEAR MARKET.
- LEI HAS BEEN SHOWING WEAKNESS
- HOUSING AND AUTO'S ARE MAIN GROWTH ENGINES OF ECONOMY, BOTH WE HAVE BORROWED FROM FUTURE DEMAND
- HIGH ENERGY COSTS ACT LIKE A TAX ON CONSUMERS
- CYCLICAL BULL MARKET BEGAN IN OCT 2002 IS NOW NEARING 3 YEARS OLD, LONG IN THE TOOTH, NET NOWHERE LAST 12 MONTHS.
- LESS TALK OF HOUSING BUBBLE, MORE TALK OF HOW THE EXPANSION WILL NOT END.
- 200% MOVE IN FED FUNDS RATE, A TIGHTENING FED FIGHTING INFLATION WHERE THERE IS LITTLE SIGN OF IT EXCEPT IN BUBBLE LIKE MOVE IN HOUSING VALUES, THEIR ACTION HAS DONE NOTHING TO STEM THE SPECULATION IN HOUSING, 1/3 OF HOMES OR MORE BOUGHT AS INVESTMENT. FALLING LONG TERM RATES A SIGN THEY HAVE NO CONTROL.
- CAUTION IS WARRANTED, A SWIFT CHANGE WILL COME SUDDENLY AND WILL NOT BE EXPECTED. MARKET MOVING ON FALSE MANIPULATED ADJUSTED GOV DATA, THINK TROJAN HORSE.
- G-D BLESS OUR FIGHTING MEN AND WOMAN THIS MEMORIAL DAY.
Monday, May 30, 2005
STACKED DECK? PROBLEMS MOUNTING UP
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