Thursday, January 07, 2010

HYPERINFLTAION OR DEFLATION?

Have you ever seen a 100 Trillion Zimbabwe note? IT gets you a loaf of bread.

How does the Federal Gov hope to pay its EVER INCREASING budget deficits? only 2 ways: HIGHER TAXES (let's hit those "RICH" people....the ones who create jobs not the Banksters) or Increasing tax receipts from revved up economy.

When that doesn't cover the HOLE, only thing left is to PRINT, but that money NEVER makes it into the REAL ECONOMY to create MONETARY INFLATION unless loans are made!

tHE new normal IS A smaller economy WITH less jobs, SOME OF THE LOSSES WILL BE PERMANENT.

Expect meager long term stock market gains in % terms from here for some time to come IMHO.

Each of the last 2 BUBBLE BOOMS created by EASY MONEY (how much easier can ZERO % FED rate be?) have both ended BADLY with accumulated debt as % of GDP off the charts, and has not barely began its march back to the norm....which means CONTRACTION after 70 years of EXPANSION.

WHAT WILL HAPPEN if and when the FED ENDS this historic period of Quantitative Easing? Said to end this MArch? MAJOR TOPS are typical in MArch and OCT (bottoms too).

MORE GAINS possible, some companies WILL EXPAND and do well, can you pick them? Are their stocks a "good deal"?

Holding stocks only profitable if you can find someone willing to pay you MORE than you paid.....IMHO a PONZI SCHEME.

The BANKSTERS got theirs, no uprising. No disgust?

WHY WON'T BANKS LEND? NO real capital? and too few credit worthy willing to borrow.....this is the NEW NORMAL so many are willing to pay UP for?

BULLS got MOMO, no question, higher prices good chance......but I am pretty sure when it's over, this game....the BAG will be passed to same old bag holders, and end game will also be the same....END BADLY.

Has the ground work been laid, the foundation paved for a STABLE, SUSTAINABLE growing economy?

Jobless claims up at 8:30, have a good one.

Duratek

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