Monday, July 27, 2009

"DONT BELIEVE THE HYPE"

There has been an abatement of bad news rather than emergence of good news," said Diane Swonk, chief economist with Mesirow Financial, a diversified financial services firm based in Chicago. "Stabilization in a deep hole is not something to pop champagne corks over."
Swonk said she remains concerned about the effect that lingering job losses and high unemployment could have on consumers.

A weak labor market, coupled with banks continuing to tighten credit standards, could mean that even if the economy technically emerges from recession this year, a recovery could be dampened by anemic consumer spending.

*I have been critical of Swonk before, but never doubting her intelligence, hearing this accurate and realistic pessimistic outlook from someone notknown for a bearish lean is eye opening.

CONSUMER is 70% of our economy.......so back to normal?

D

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